Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.223742 9.433869 10.779388 12.389667 14.268751 16.397361 18.998606
2025-02-16 6.419243 7.921445 9.730806 12.082349 15.074779 18.778017 23.742739
2025-02-23 5.406669 7.032984 9.109081 11.976341 15.868864 21.019481 28.434346
2025-03-02 4.694178 6.369739 8.611289 11.864129 16.521511 23.037004 32.996552
2025-03-09 4.130537 5.808591 8.144487 11.680901 16.982355 24.767382 37.312837
2025-03-16 3.656373 5.303756 7.677828 11.408339 17.232923 26.164415 41.258696
2025-03-23 3.464182 5.178448 7.733676 11.898065 18.666463 29.501677 48.708792
2025-03-30 3.219292 4.942300 7.588709 12.044757 19.553754 32.052892 55.198389
2025-04-06 2.962379 4.658141 7.334072 11.975211 20.058393 34.004287 60.894121
2025-04-13 2.726494 4.382764 7.062380 11.839295 20.418880 35.727477 66.394436
2025-04-20 2.612519 4.294883 7.086932 12.206589 21.698425 39.236550 75.802210
2025-04-27 2.491961 4.183308 7.057888 12.470337 22.810503 42.560458 85.342787
2025-05-04 2.412424 4.137917 7.143443 12.959997 24.425031 47.098484 98.238040
2025-05-11 2.217420 3.871233 6.810704 12.630032 24.402299 48.369550 104.295183
2025-05-18 2.073165 3.683491 6.603840 12.518062 24.798497 50.544433 112.730258
2025-05-25 1.942281 3.509068 6.405501 12.400191 25.163934 52.692470 121.454001
2025-06-01 1.814542 3.329950 6.182289 12.207831 25.345326 54.453592 129.532683
2025-06-08 1.687582 3.142251 5.926498 11.921719 25.287110 55.661041 136.422856
2025-06-15 1.659791 3.144832 6.045043 12.435812 27.072546 61.379855 156.064734
2025-06-22 1.595330 3.069363 5.999619 12.589823 28.049437 65.299575 171.609368
2025-06-29 1.513231 2.951937 5.858229 12.516807 28.481623 67.933075 184.052417
2025-07-06 1.430924 2.827990 5.693251 12.374112 28.728416 70.129006 195.648758
2025-07-13 1.401490 2.811776 5.755258 12.759742 30.325881 76.066748 219.664306